Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?

Édouard Philippe
$1.39 Volume

Jean-Luc Mélenchon
$43.44 Volume

Raphaël Glucksmann
$25.00 Volume

Other
$91.61 Volume

Gabriel Attal
$0.00 Volume

Clémence Guetté
$78.30 Volume

Marine Le Pen
$3.33 Volume

Bruno Retailleau
$0.00 Volume

Dominique de Villepin
$50.00 Volume

Gérald Darmanin
$50.00 Volume

Éric Zemmour
$50.00 Volume

Sarah Knafo
$0.00 Volume

David Lisnard
$0.00 Volume

Fabien Roussel
$50.00 Volume

Marine Tondelier
$0.00 Volume

Bernard Cazeneuve
$55.94 Volume

Olivier Faure
$50.00 Volume

François Hollande
$20.64 Volume

Manuel Bompard
$50.00 Volume

Carole Delga
$67.83 Volume

Clémentine Autain
$56.94 Volume

Élisabeth Borne
$50.00 Volume

Xavier Bertrand
$161.04 Volume

Sébastien Lecornu
$5.88 Volume

François Asselineau
$207.82 Volume

François Ruffin
$125.74 Volume

Ségolène Royal
$71.56 Volume

Laurent Wauquiez
$50.00 Volume

Jean Castex
$50.00 Volume

Valérie Pécresse
$56.83 Volume

Juan Branco
$121.05 Volume

Michel Barnier
$57.00 Volume

Yaël Braun-Pivet
$85.42 Volume

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan
$0.00 Volume

Mathilde Panot
$50.00 Volume

François Bayrou
$11.59 Volume
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
- Resolver: official source.
- Deadline: closing date in UTC.
- Disputed outcomes: handled by moderators within 48 hours.

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