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Prediction markets
21 active markets
· category “Business”
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How to trade
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
0 (0 bps)
69%
1 (25 bps)
19%
11 more
$31.7M
Vol.
Dec 31
business
Potential payout
$25
→
$36
75 trading now
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
SpaceX
82%
xAI
26%
72 more
$2.26M
Vol.
Dec 31
business
Potential payout
$25
→
$31
50 trading now
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?
1%
chance
Yes
No
$3.45M
Vol.
Jun 30
business
Potential payout
$25
→
$313
58 trading now
How much will SpaceX raise in its IPO?
70-80B
71%
80-90B
15%
8 more
$157K
Vol.
business
Potential payout
$25
→
$35
47 trading now
Quantinuum IPO Closing Market Cap
$25B+
36%
$22B–$25B
32%
6 more
$21K
Vol.
Jun 4
business
Potential payout
$25
→
$70
44 trading now
AI bubble burst by...?
December 31, 2026
21%
March 31, 2026
1%
1 more
$2.86M
Vol.
Dec 31
business
Potential payout
$25
→
$117
62 trading now
Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?
Google
55%
OpenAI
46%
12 more
$28K
Vol.
Dec 31
business
Potential payout
$25
→
$46
40 trading now
How many Tesla deliveries in Q2 2026?
450k–475k
32%
475k+
23%
7 more
$61K
Vol.
Jun 30
business
Potential payout
$25
→
$78
45 trading now
Safepoint IPO Closing Market Cap
$1.1B–$1.3B
36%
$900M–$1.1B
33%
5 more
$7.5K
Vol.
Jun 4
business
Potential payout
$25
→
$70
50 trading now
WhiteHawk Minerals IPO Closing Market Cap
$675M–$750M
50%
$600M–$675M
34%
5 more
$4.7K
Vol.
Jun 5
business
Potential payout
$25
→
$51
36 trading now
Critical Discord Incident by June 30?
19%
chance
Yes
No
$543.77
Vol.
Jun 30
business
Potential payout
$25
→
$132
39 trading now
Which DCMs self-certify sports event contracts by June 30?
CME
99%
LedgerX
99%
7 more
$115K
Vol.
Jun 30
business
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
55 trading now
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