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Prediction markets

15 active markets · category “Science”

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Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?

Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?

Hong Wang
Hong Wang97%
John Pardon
John Pardon97%9 more
$677KVol. Jul 30science
2026 July 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

2026 July 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

1st hottest
1st hottest86%
3rd hottest
3rd hottest10%2 more
$79KVol. Jul 31science
How many 5.5 or above earthquakes July 14 - July 19?

How many 5.5 or above earthquakes July 14 - July 19?

≤6
1%YesNo
7
1%YesNo
$53KVol. Jul 19science
How many 6.5 or above earthquakes July 14 - July 19?

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes July 14 - July 19?

0
1%YesNo
1
84%YesNo
$29KVol. Jul 19science
Precipitation in NYC in July?

Precipitation in NYC in July?

3-4"
3-4"42%
4-5"
4-5"37%4 more
$21KVol. Jul 31science
July 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

July 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

1.20–1.24ºC84%
1.25–1.29ºC10%4 more
$34KVol. Aug 1science
Precipitation in Hong Kong in July?

Precipitation in Hong Kong in July?

425-450mm
425-450mm28%
500-525mm
500-525mm22%8 more
$14KVol. Jul 31science
Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?

Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?

October 31
October 3153%
December 31
December 3150%2 more
$1.4KVol. Jan 1science
Precipitation in London in July?

Precipitation in London in July?

<30mm
<30mm85%
30-40mm
30-40mm6%5 more
$5.7KVol. Jul 31science
Precipitation in Seoul in July?

Precipitation in Seoul in July?

100mm+99%
90-100mm1%6 more
$13KVol. Jul 31science
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

4%

chance

YesNo
$119KVol. Mar 31science
Cyclosporiasis cases in U.S. by July 31?

Cyclosporiasis cases in U.S. by July 31?

1800+95%
2000+94%4 more
$20KVol. Jul 31science