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Prediction markets
12 active markets
· category “Science”
How it works
How to trade
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
5%
chance
Yes
No
$622K
Vol.
Dec 31
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$313
53 trading now
How many 6.5 or above earthquakes June 1 - June 7?
0
56%
Yes
No
1
36%
Yes
No
$8.2K
Vol.
Jun 8
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$45
46 trading now
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
1
30%
Yes
No
2
63%
Yes
No
$2.90M
Vol.
Dec 31
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$40
52 trading now
Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?
7%
chance
Yes
No
$12K
Vol.
Dec 31
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$313
34 trading now
How many Tornadoes in the US in June?
130–159
41%
190–219
41%
7 more
$1.6K
Vol.
Jul 8
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$61
33 trading now
Precipitation in Seattle in June?
1.5-2"
32%
0.5-1"
29%
5 more
$411.43
Vol.
Jun 30
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$79
27 trading now
Natural Disaster in 2026?
25%
chance
Yes
No
$221K
Vol.
Dec 31
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$102
57 trading now
Precipitation in London in June?
40-50mm
31%
30-40mm
30%
5 more
$660.29
Vol.
Jun 30
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$81
38 trading now
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
3%
chance
Yes
No
$108K
Vol.
Dec 31
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$313
46 trading now
SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?
11%
chance
Yes
No
$7.8K
Vol.
Dec 31
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$224
38 trading now
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?
12%
chance
Yes
No
$95K
Vol.
Mar 31
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$217
45 trading now
Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31?
33%
chance
Yes
No
$964.99
Vol.
Dec 31
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$76
37 trading now
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